Fiona Adamson

Four Ways to Explore Model Predictive Uncertainty

This tutorial explains four ways to explore the uncertainties of two predictions made by a relatively simple, fast-running model. These are: Linear analysis Sampling a linearised posterior covariance matrix Iterative ensemble smoother Data space inversion In doing this tutorial, you get to use the following programs: PEST PEST_HP PESTPP-IES DSI1 Other members of the PEST …

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