Groundwater modelling needs a context to make sense. This context is set by a decision that must be made, by those who must make that
What should decision-support groundwater modelling seek to accomplish? Should it try to build a digital replica of what happens underground? Obviously not, because this is
For this worked example, we rebuild an old USGS model. The focus of the original model was protection of water supply wells that serve a
In contrast to linear uncertainty analysis, non-linear methods do not suffer from the limitation of assuming a linear relationship between model predictions and model parameters.
A variance-covariance matrix, often referred to as a covariance matrix, is a square matrix that provides covariances between pairs of elements of a random vector.
The present tutorial addresses the ability (or otherwise) of yet-ungathered data to reduce the uncertainties of decision-critical predictions using linear analysis utilities from the PEST
Linear uncertainty analysis is also known as “first order second moment” (or “FOSM”) analysis. It provides approximate mathematical characterisation of prior predictive probability distributions, and
This is the first in a series of tutorials which demonstrate workflows for parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis with the PEST/PEST++ suites. These are not the only
https://vimeo.com/566929903 by Catherine More and John Doherty Because environmental systems are complex, models must be complex too. Otherwise, how can they simulate the impact of
https://vimeo.com/548316380 by Catherine Moore and John Doherty We have talked about uncertainty before – in last year’s webinar series. We have been asked to talk
OLPROC is a model dancing partner. Its role is to postprocess model outputs in order to match them with field measurements, as well as to
Simultaneous fitting of drawdowns induced by pumping at multiple sites in an area of complex geology revealed important patterns of connected permeability Over a six
Predicting the future of any environmental system is fraught with uncertainty; nevertheless, decisions must be made and risks must be assessed. This is where decision
Led by the National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT) at Flinders University and in conjunction with the mining and groundwater industries, the Groundwater