So we’ve ticked the uncertainty box. What happens next?

Date: 9th May 2023 (Recorded – see button below)

John Doherty, Jeremy White and Catherine Moore presented issues that occupy the boundaries between uncertainty analysis and decision-making/policy-formulation. They discussed some of the problems that beset the making of decisions in an uncertain world. The talks are non-technical; the issues are important. They included:

  • Uncertainties in uncertainty;
  • Do decision-makers really want to put a number on the risks that they are taking?
  • Are decisions really based on risk anyway?
  • Can there ever be a guidebook for uncertainty analysis, or is it too subjective?
  • Necessary and sufficient conditions for evaluation of uncertainty;
  • Linkages between uncertainty analysis and monitoring;
  • Modelling as a collective, social process.