In order to assist modellers in setting up and using model-partner software in ways that support the decision-support imperatives of data assimilation and uncertainty quantification, GMDSI is developing a series of tutorials.
GMDSI tutorials are designed to be modular and independent of each other. Each tutorial addresses its own specific modelling topic. Hence there is no need to work through them in a pre-ordained sequence. However, they also complement each other. Many employ variations of the same synthetic model, and are based on the same simulator (MODFLOW 6).
In these tutorials, utility software from the PEST suite is used extensively to assist in model parameterization, objective function definition, and general PEST/PEST++ setup. Some tutorials focus on the use of PEST and PEST++, while others focus on ancillary issues such as introducing transient recharge to a groundwater model, and translation of a model’s grid, parameterization, and calculated states to files that can be read by visualization, GIS and display packages.
All tutorials are hosted in a GitHub repository here. Individual tutorials can also be accessed through through the links below.
This is the first in a series of tutorials which demonstrate workflows for parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis with the PEST/PEST++ suites. These are not the only
Linear uncertainty analysis is also known as “first order second moment” (or “FOSM”) analysis. It provides approximate mathematical characterisation of prior predictive probability distributions, and
The present tutorial addresses the ability (or otherwise) of yet-ungathered data to reduce the uncertainties of decision-critical predictions using linear analysis utilities from the PEST
In contrast to linear uncertainty analysis, non-linear methods do not suffer from the limitation of assuming a linear relationship between model predictions and model parameters.
PLPROC is a member of the PEST suite. Its primary use is for pilot points parameterization of models that use both structured and unstructured grids.
PLPROC allows a modeller to create and manipulate parameters that inform hydraulic properties that are represented in a numerical model. In doing this, PLPROC supports
This tutorial demonstrates several options for spatial parameterization of linear and polylinear features. In a groundwater model, these may represent entities such as streams, rivers,
A variance-covariance matrix, often referred to as a covariance matrix, is a square matrix that provides covariances between pairs of elements of a random vector.